ProbFut
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 04

Lille

Pts

10

MP

5

W

3

GD

+4

Primary Objective

Champions League

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.
31%

Probability — Lille

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
18Wins/ 29
90% confidence
19Wins/ 29
99% confidence
21Wins/ 29

ProbFut AI Analysis

Falling 2-1 to Nice, Lille suffered their first defeat of the campaign but stay in 4th place on 10 points. Les Dogues hold a 31% chance of securing Champions League qualification, a milestone requiring 18 wins from the remaining 29 fixtures to achieve with 75% confidence. LOSC will have the chance to bounce back at home against Le Havre on October 10, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Lille's chances of achieving Champions League?
Lille has a 30.7% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Lille need for Champions League?
Lille needs 19 wins in 29 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.