ProbFut
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 04

Lille

Pts

10

MP

5

W

3

GD

+4

Primary Objective

Escape the Playoffs

Wins needed to stay in Ligue 1.
4%

Probability — Lille

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
8Wins/ 29
90% confidence
10Wins/ 29
99% confidence
10Wins/ 29

ProbFut AI Analysis

Falling 2-1 to Nice, Lille suffered their first defeat of the campaign but stay in 4th place on 10 points. Les Dogues hold a 31% chance of securing Champions League qualification, a milestone requiring 18 wins from the remaining 29 fixtures to achieve with 75% confidence. LOSC will have the chance to bounce back at home against Le Havre on October 10, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Lille's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
Lille has a 4.0% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Lille need for Escape the Playoffs?
Lille needs 10 wins in 29 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.