Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 12
Lorient
Pts
5
MP
5
W
1
GD
-1
Primary Objective
Conference League
Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.5%
Probability — Lorient
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
18Wins/ 29
90% confidence
19Wins/ 29
99% confidence
21Wins/ 29
ProbFut AI Analysis
Beaten 2-1 at Le Mans, Lorient remain stuck on 5 points and sit 12th in Ligue 1. Les Merlus need at least 9 wins from their remaining 29 games to guarantee survival at a 75% confidence level, keeping their 13% relegation probability at bay. The Brittany side will host Paris FC on October 10, 2026 looking to get back on track.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Lorient's chances of achieving Conference League?
Lorient has a 5.4% probability of achieving Conference League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Lorient need for Conference League?
Lorient needs 19 wins in 29 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.