ProbFut
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 12

Lorient

Pts

1

MP

1

W

0

GD

0

Primary Objective

Europa League

Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.
5%

Probability — Lorient

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
23Wins/ 33
90% confidence
24Wins/ 33
99% confidence
26Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

Earning a valuable point from a 0-0 draw away at Nice, Lorient started the campaign on solid footing. Les Merlus hold a 23% chance of reaching the Champions League, though achieving that goal with 75% certainty would require 25 wins from 33 matches. Hosting Estac Troyes on August 29 will offer a chance to gauge their home form.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Lorient's chances of achieving Europa League?
Lorient has a 5.4% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Lorient need for Europa League?
Lorient needs 24 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.