ProbFut
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 12

Lorient

Pts

1

MP

1

W

0

GD

0

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
11%

Probability — Lorient

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
7Wins/ 33
90% confidence
7Wins/ 33
99% confidence
16Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

Earning a valuable point from a 0-0 draw away at Nice, Lorient started the campaign on solid footing. Les Merlus hold a 23% chance of reaching the Champions League, though achieving that goal with 75% certainty would require 25 wins from 33 matches. Hosting Estac Troyes on August 29 will offer a chance to gauge their home form.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Lorient's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Lorient has a 11.1% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Lorient need for Escape Relegation?
Lorient needs 7 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.