ProbFut
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 12

Lorient

Pts

1

MP

1

W

0

GD

0

Primary Objective

Escape the Playoffs

Wins needed to stay in Ligue 1.
6%

Probability — Lorient

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
8Wins/ 33
90% confidence
16Wins/ 33
99% confidence
16Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

Earning a valuable point from a 0-0 draw away at Nice, Lorient started the campaign on solid footing. Les Merlus hold a 23% chance of reaching the Champions League, though achieving that goal with 75% certainty would require 25 wins from 33 matches. Hosting Estac Troyes on August 29 will offer a chance to gauge their home form.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Lorient's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
Lorient has a 5.7% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Lorient need for Escape the Playoffs?
Lorient needs 16 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.