Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 17
Marseille
Pts
3
MP
5
W
1
GD
-1
Primary Objective
Conference League
Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.5%
Probability — Marseille
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
18Wins/ 29
90% confidence
19Wins/ 29
99% confidence
21Wins/ 29
ProbFut AI Analysis
Beaten 2-1 at home in Le Classique by Paris Saint Germain, Marseille suffered a 4th straight defeat and languish in 17th place. OM's relegation risk has risen to 18%, and the Phocaeans will require 9 wins from the remaining 29 fixtures to pull clear of danger at a 75% confidence level. An away trip to Estac Troyes on October 11, 2026 offers an opportunity to halt this downward spiral.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Marseille's chances of achieving Conference League?
Marseille has a 4.6% probability of achieving Conference League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Marseille need for Conference League?
Marseille needs 19 wins in 29 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.