ProbFut
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 05

Monaco

Pts

3

MP

1

W

1

GD

+1

Primary Objective

Champion

Wins needed to finish in 1st place.
7%

Probability — Monaco

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
30Wins/ 33
90% confidence
33Wins/ 33
99% confidence
33Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

Monaco did what was required with a 1-0 victory over Le Havre on the opening weekend. Given a 25% chance of returning to the Champions League, l'ASM must target 24 wins across their remaining 33 fixtures to achieve that goal with 75% confidence. Hosting Marseille on August 30 will offer a valuable measuring stick.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Monaco's chances of achieving Champion?
Monaco has a 6.8% probability of achieving Champion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Monaco need for Champion?
Monaco needs 33 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.