Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 01
Monaco
Pts
13
MP
5
W
4
GD
+5
Primary Objective
Champions League
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.40%
Probability — Monaco
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
17Wins/ 29
90% confidence
21Wins/ 29
99% confidence
21Wins/ 29
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 2-1 victory over Lens cemented Monaco's spot at the top of the table with 13 points from 5 matches. ASM now boast a 40% probability of Champions League qualification, targeting 17 wins from their remaining 29 games to secure that goal with 75% certainty. Les Monégasques host Toulouse on October 10, 2026, looking to keep up their blistering pace at the Ligue 1 summit.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Monaco's chances of achieving Champions League?
Monaco has a 40.1% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Monaco need for Champions League?
Monaco needs 21 wins in 29 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.