Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 05
Monaco
Pts
3
MP
1
W
1
GD
+1
Primary Objective
Champions League
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.25%
Probability — Monaco
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
24Wins/ 33
90% confidence
28Wins/ 33
99% confidence
28Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
Monaco did what was required with a 1-0 victory over Le Havre on the opening weekend. Given a 25% chance of returning to the Champions League, l'ASM must target 24 wins across their remaining 33 fixtures to achieve that goal with 75% confidence. Hosting Marseille on August 30 will offer a valuable measuring stick.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Monaco's chances of achieving Champions League?
Monaco has a 24.7% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Monaco need for Champions League?
Monaco needs 28 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.