Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 05
Monaco
Pts
3
MP
1
W
1
GD
+1
Primary Objective
Europa League
Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.6%
Probability — Monaco
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
22Wins/ 33
90% confidence
24Wins/ 33
99% confidence
28Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
Monaco did what was required with a 1-0 victory over Le Havre on the opening weekend. Given a 25% chance of returning to the Champions League, l'ASM must target 24 wins across their remaining 33 fixtures to achieve that goal with 75% confidence. Hosting Marseille on August 30 will offer a valuable measuring stick.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Monaco's chances of achieving Europa League?
Monaco has a 5.7% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Monaco need for Europa League?
Monaco needs 24 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.