Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 13
Toulouse
Pts
5
MP
5
W
1
GD
-2
Primary Objective
Europa League
Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.5%
Probability — Toulouse
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
19Wins/ 29
90% confidence
21Wins/ 29
99% confidence
21Wins/ 29
ProbFut AI Analysis
Following an eventful 3-2 victory over Le Havre, Toulouse clinched their first win of the season and pulled clear of the drop zone. Le TFC saw their relegation probability drop to 14%, needing 9 wins from the remaining 29 matches to confirm survival at a 75% confidence level. Les Toulousains face a tough test when they travel to Monaco on October 10, 2026.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Toulouse's chances of achieving Europa League?
Toulouse has a 4.9% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Toulouse need for Europa League?
Toulouse needs 21 wins in 29 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.