ProbFut
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 13

Toulouse

Pts

5

MP

5

W

1

GD

-2

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
14%

Probability — Toulouse

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 29
90% confidence
9Wins/ 29
99% confidence
14Wins/ 29

ProbFut AI Analysis

Following an eventful 3-2 victory over Le Havre, Toulouse clinched their first win of the season and pulled clear of the drop zone. Le TFC saw their relegation probability drop to 14%, needing 9 wins from the remaining 29 matches to confirm survival at a 75% confidence level. Les Toulousains face a tough test when they travel to Monaco on October 10, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Toulouse's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Toulouse has a 14.3% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Toulouse need for Escape Relegation?
Toulouse needs 9 wins in 29 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.