ProbFut
Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 16

Toulouse

Pts

0

MP

1

W

0

GD

-2

Primary Objective

Escape the Playoffs

Wins needed to stay in Ligue 1.
6%

Probability — Toulouse

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 33
90% confidence
10Wins/ 33
99% confidence
12Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

Toulouse fell 0-2 at home to Lyon on the opening weekend. Facing a 13% probability of relegation, les Violets need 7 wins from 33 matches to ensure survival with 75% certainty. A tricky away fixture against Stade Brestois 29 awaits them on August 29.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Toulouse's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
Toulouse has a 5.9% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Toulouse need for Escape the Playoffs?
Toulouse needs 10 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.