Ligue 1 · 2026/27 · # 13
Toulouse
Pts
5
MP
5
W
1
GD
-2
Primary Objective
Escape the Playoffs
Wins needed to stay in Ligue 1.6%
Probability — Toulouse
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 29
90% confidence
14Wins/ 29
99% confidence
14Wins/ 29
ProbFut AI Analysis
Following an eventful 3-2 victory over Le Havre, Toulouse clinched their first win of the season and pulled clear of the drop zone. Le TFC saw their relegation probability drop to 14%, needing 9 wins from the remaining 29 matches to confirm survival at a 75% confidence level. Les Toulousains face a tough test when they travel to Monaco on October 10, 2026.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Toulouse's chances of achieving Escape the Playoffs?
Toulouse has a 6.5% probability of achieving Escape the Playoffs, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Toulouse need for Escape the Playoffs?
Toulouse needs 14 wins in 29 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.