ProbFut
Premier League · 2026/27 · # 02

Arsenal

Pts

12

MP

5

W

4

GD

+4

Primary Objective

Champion

Wins needed to finish in 1st place.
10%

Probability — Arsenal

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
27Wins/ 33
90% confidence
28Wins/ 33
99% confidence
33Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

Following a 3-0 setback against Brighton, Arsenal remain second in the table on 12 points. To secure Champions League qualification at a 75% confidence level, the Gunners need 19 wins from their remaining 33 fixtures to maintain their top-four pace. Mikel Arteta's squad will look to get back on track when they host Leeds on 10 October 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Arsenal's chances of achieving Champion?
Arsenal has a 10.3% probability of achieving Champion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Arsenal need for Champion?
Arsenal needs 28 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.