Premier League · 2026/27 · # 02
Arsenal
Pts
12
MP
5
W
4
GD
+4
Primary Objective
Champions League
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.39%
Probability — Arsenal
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
19Wins/ 33
90% confidence
20Wins/ 33
99% confidence
24Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
Following a 3-0 setback against Brighton, Arsenal remain second in the table on 12 points. To secure Champions League qualification at a 75% confidence level, the Gunners need 19 wins from their remaining 33 fixtures to maintain their top-four pace. Mikel Arteta's squad will look to get back on track when they host Leeds on 10 October 2026.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Arsenal's chances of achieving Champions League?
Arsenal has a 39.5% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Arsenal need for Champions League?
Arsenal needs 20 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.