ProbFut
Premier League · 2026/27 · # 02

Arsenal

Pts

3

MP

1

W

1

GD

+3

Primary Objective

Champions League

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.
27%

Probability — Arsenal

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
26Wins/ 37
90% confidence
27Wins/ 37
99% confidence
32Wins/ 37

ProbFut AI Analysis

Arsenal kicked off the season in commanding fashion with a 3-0 victory over Coventry. Sitting 2nd after Round 1, the Gunners hold a 27% probability of securing Champions League qualification, needing approximately 26 wins from their remaining 37 matches to hit the 75% confidence threshold. The next test comes away against Aston Villa on August 31, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Arsenal's chances of achieving Champions League?
Arsenal has a 27.0% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Arsenal need for Champions League?
Arsenal needs 27 wins in 37 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.