ProbFut
Premier League · 2026/27 · # 16

Aston Villa

Pts

4

MP

5

W

1

GD

-5

Primary Objective

Champions League

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.
18%

Probability — Aston Villa

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
22Wins/ 33
90% confidence
24Wins/ 33
99% confidence
28Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

Aston Villa secured their first victory of the season with a 3-2 away win against Tottenham, moving up to 4 points. The Villans need 11 wins across their 33 remaining matches to reach safety comfortably at a 75% confidence threshold. Next on the schedule is a home fixture against unbeaten Brentford on 10 October 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Aston Villa's chances of achieving Champions League?
Aston Villa has a 17.9% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Aston Villa need for Champions League?
Aston Villa needs 24 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.