ProbFut
Premier League · 2026/27 · # 20

Aston Villa

Pts

0

MP

1

W

0

GD

-4

Primary Objective

Champions League

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Champions League.
23%

Probability — Aston Villa

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
27Wins/ 37
90% confidence
32Wins/ 37
99% confidence
32Wins/ 37

ProbFut AI Analysis

Aston Villa suffered a difficult start to the campaign with a 4-0 defeat away at Brighton. With 37 fixtures left, the Villans have a 23% probability of reaching the Champions League and require around 27 wins to secure a top-5 finish with 75% confidence. The side will look to bounce back when hosting Arsenal on August 31, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Aston Villa's chances of achieving Champions League?
Aston Villa has a 22.7% probability of achieving Champions League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Aston Villa need for Champions League?
Aston Villa needs 32 wins in 37 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.