ProbFut
Premier League · 2026/27 · # 20

Aston Villa

Pts

0

MP

1

W

0

GD

-4

Primary Objective

Europa League

Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.
5%

Probability — Aston Villa

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
25Wins/ 37
90% confidence
27Wins/ 37
99% confidence
32Wins/ 37

ProbFut AI Analysis

Aston Villa suffered a difficult start to the campaign with a 4-0 defeat away at Brighton. With 37 fixtures left, the Villans have a 23% probability of reaching the Champions League and require around 27 wins to secure a top-5 finish with 75% confidence. The side will look to bounce back when hosting Arsenal on August 31, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Aston Villa's chances of achieving Europa League?
Aston Villa has a 4.8% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Aston Villa need for Europa League?
Aston Villa needs 27 wins in 37 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.