Premier League · 2026/27 · # 16
Aston Villa
Pts
4
MP
5
W
1
GD
-5
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.20%
Probability — Aston Villa
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
11Wins/ 33
90% confidence
12Wins/ 33
99% confidence
16Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
Aston Villa secured their first victory of the season with a 3-2 away win against Tottenham, moving up to 4 points. The Villans need 11 wins across their 33 remaining matches to reach safety comfortably at a 75% confidence threshold. Next on the schedule is a home fixture against unbeaten Brentford on 10 October 2026.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Aston Villa's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Aston Villa has a 20.0% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Aston Villa need for Escape Relegation?
Aston Villa needs 12 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.