ProbFut
Premier League · 2026/27 · # 10

Chelsea

Pts

7

MP

5

W

2

GD

-2

Primary Objective

Champion

Wins needed to finish in 1st place.
4%

Probability — Chelsea

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
28Wins/ 33
90% confidence
33Wins/ 33
99% confidence
33Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

Chelsea dropped into 10th position after a heavy 3-0 defeat at Brentford, remaining on 7 points after 5 matches. To mount a credible challenge for the Champions League places, the Blues must target 21 victories from their remaining 33 fixtures to hit the 75% confidence threshold. Enzo Maresca's side hosts Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge on 10 October 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Chelsea's chances of achieving Champion?
Chelsea has a 4.4% probability of achieving Champion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Chelsea need for Champion?
Chelsea needs 33 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.