ProbFut
Premier League · 2026/27 · # 06

Chelsea

Pts

3

MP

1

W

1

GD

+1

Primary Objective

Conference League

Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.
5%

Probability — Chelsea

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
23Wins/ 37
90% confidence
24Wins/ 37
99% confidence
27Wins/ 37

ProbFut AI Analysis

Chelsea began their campaign with an entertaining 3-2 away victory against Fulham. Holding 6th place with 3 points, the Blues possess a 27% probability of qualifying for the Champions League, requiring roughly 26 wins over the remaining 37 games to reach that goal with 75% certainty. Stamford Bridge will host Brighton in their next fixture on August 30, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Chelsea's chances of achieving Conference League?
Chelsea has a 4.9% probability of achieving Conference League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Chelsea need for Conference League?
Chelsea needs 24 wins in 37 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.