ProbFut
Premier League · 2026/27 · # 06

Chelsea

Pts

3

MP

1

W

1

GD

+1

Primary Objective

Europa League

Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.
5%

Probability — Chelsea

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
24Wins/ 37
90% confidence
27Wins/ 37
99% confidence
27Wins/ 37

ProbFut AI Analysis

Chelsea began their campaign with an entertaining 3-2 away victory against Fulham. Holding 6th place with 3 points, the Blues possess a 27% probability of qualifying for the Champions League, requiring roughly 26 wins over the remaining 37 games to reach that goal with 75% certainty. Stamford Bridge will host Brighton in their next fixture on August 30, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Chelsea's chances of achieving Europa League?
Chelsea has a 5.1% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Chelsea need for Europa League?
Chelsea needs 27 wins in 37 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.