Premier League · 2026/27 · # 10
Chelsea
Pts
7
MP
5
W
2
GD
-2
Primary Objective
Europa League
Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.5%
Probability — Chelsea
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
20Wins/ 33
90% confidence
22Wins/ 33
99% confidence
22Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
Chelsea dropped into 10th position after a heavy 3-0 defeat at Brentford, remaining on 7 points after 5 matches. To mount a credible challenge for the Champions League places, the Blues must target 21 victories from their remaining 33 fixtures to hit the 75% confidence threshold. Enzo Maresca's side hosts Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge on 10 October 2026.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Chelsea's chances of achieving Europa League?
Chelsea has a 5.2% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Chelsea need for Europa League?
Chelsea needs 22 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.