Premier League · 2026/27 · # 10
Chelsea
Pts
7
MP
5
W
2
GD
-2
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.14%
Probability — Chelsea
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 33
90% confidence
12Wins/ 33
99% confidence
12Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
Chelsea dropped into 10th position after a heavy 3-0 defeat at Brentford, remaining on 7 points after 5 matches. To mount a credible challenge for the Champions League places, the Blues must target 21 victories from their remaining 33 fixtures to hit the 75% confidence threshold. Enzo Maresca's side hosts Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge on 10 October 2026.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Chelsea's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Chelsea has a 13.8% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Chelsea need for Escape Relegation?
Chelsea needs 12 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.