Premier League · 2026/27 · # 09
Newcastle
Pts
8
MP
5
W
2
GD
0
Primary Objective
Champion
Wins needed to finish in 1st place.5%
Probability — Newcastle
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
28Wins/ 33
90% confidence
33Wins/ 33
99% confidence
33Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
Newcastle edged Hull City 2-1 at St James' Park, moving up to 8 points in 9th place. The Magpies now have a 27% probability of qualifying for the Champions League, an objective requiring 21 wins from their final 33 matches at a 75% confidence level. Eddie Howe's team travels to face Coventry on 12 October 2026.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Newcastle's chances of achieving Champion?
Newcastle has a 4.9% probability of achieving Champion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Newcastle need for Champion?
Newcastle needs 33 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.