Premier League · 2026/27 · # 09
Newcastle
Pts
8
MP
5
W
2
GD
0
Primary Objective
Conference League
Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.5%
Probability — Newcastle
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
19Wins/ 33
90% confidence
20Wins/ 33
99% confidence
22Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
Newcastle edged Hull City 2-1 at St James' Park, moving up to 8 points in 9th place. The Magpies now have a 27% probability of qualifying for the Champions League, an objective requiring 21 wins from their final 33 matches at a 75% confidence level. Eddie Howe's team travels to face Coventry on 12 October 2026.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Newcastle's chances of achieving Conference League?
Newcastle has a 5.2% probability of achieving Conference League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Newcastle need for Conference League?
Newcastle needs 20 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.