Premier League · 2026/27 · # 09
Newcastle
Pts
8
MP
5
W
2
GD
0
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.12%
Probability — Newcastle
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 33
90% confidence
12Wins/ 33
99% confidence
12Wins/ 33
ProbFut AI Analysis
Newcastle edged Hull City 2-1 at St James' Park, moving up to 8 points in 9th place. The Magpies now have a 27% probability of qualifying for the Champions League, an objective requiring 21 wins from their final 33 matches at a 75% confidence level. Eddie Howe's team travels to face Coventry on 12 October 2026.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Newcastle's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Newcastle has a 12.0% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Newcastle need for Escape Relegation?
Newcastle needs 12 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.