ProbFut
Premier League · 2026/27 · # 10

Newcastle

Pts

1

MP

1

W

0

GD

0

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
16%

Probability — Newcastle

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 37
90% confidence
18Wins/ 37
99% confidence
18Wins/ 37

ProbFut AI Analysis

Newcastle started their season with an energetic 2-2 home draw against Liverpool. Sitting 10th with 1 point, the Magpies possess a 24% probability of Champions League qualification, with simulations indicating a target of 27 wins from the final 37 games for 75% confidence. They travel to face Tottenham on August 29, 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Newcastle's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Newcastle has a 15.8% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Newcastle need for Escape Relegation?
Newcastle needs 18 wins in 37 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.