ProbFut
Premier League · 2026/27 · # 14

Sunderland

Pts

4

MP

5

W

1

GD

-4

Primary Objective

Conference League

Wins needed to qualify for the Conference League.
4%

Probability — Sunderland

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
20Wins/ 33
90% confidence
22Wins/ 33
99% confidence
22Wins/ 33

ProbFut AI Analysis

Sunderland fought bravely in a 5-3 away defeat against league leaders Manchester City, remaining 14th with 4 points. The Black Cats carry a 19% risk of relegation and need 11 wins across their remaining 33 matches to reach safety at the 75% confidence standard. Regis Le Bris' side will look to rebound at home against Brighton on 10 October 2026.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Sunderland's chances of achieving Conference League?
Sunderland has a 4.4% probability of achieving Conference League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Sunderland need for Conference League?
Sunderland needs 22 wins in 33 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.