Castellón

Castellón dropped 2 points in a 2-2 draw away at Mirandes — a relegation-threatened side — and their automatic promotion probability fell from 26% to 18%. They remain well inside the playoff picture at 62%, but need 4 wins from 7 remaining at 75% confidence, a marginally harder task than rivals Burgos and Deportivo La Coruna who each need only 3. Saturday's home game against Burgos on April 18 is an immediate opportunity to address that gap: a win keeps them ahead in the table and halts their direct competitor's momentum.