LaLiga 2 · 2025 · # 04
Malaga
Pts
60
MP
35
W
17
GD
+17
What does the team need?
Primary Objective
Promotion Playoff
Wins needed to reach the promotion playoff.75% confidence
3Wins
90% confidence
5Wins
99% confidence
5Wins
Promotion
Wins needed for direct promotion.38%
6Wins
75% confidenceEscape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.✓
✓
75% confidenceProbFut AI Analysis
Malaga produced the best performance among the chasing pack in Round 35, beating Las Palmas 2-0 to jump from 23% to 38% automatic promotion probability — the biggest weekly gain outside of Racing Santander. Despite holding the highest Elo rating in the top 6 (1569), the path to a direct promotion spot is still demanding: they need 6 wins from 7 remaining at 75% confidence, leaving almost no room for slip-ups. Sunday's away trip to Almeria on April 19 is the standout fixture of the week — a win would leapfrog Almeria and make automatic promotion a genuine likelihood.
Remaining Fixtures
| RD | Opponent | W / D / L | Exp. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 |  Almeria (ALM) | 1.26 | |
| 37 |  Castellón (CAS) | 1.65 | |
| 38 |  Eibar (EIB) | 1.27 | |
| 39 |  Sporting Gijon (GIJ) | 1.87 | |
| 40 |  AD Ceuta FC (AD ) | 1.52 |