LaLiga 2 · 2025 · # 04
Malaga
Pts
60
MP
35
W
17
GD
+17
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.0%
Probability — Malaga
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
✓
90% confidence
✓
99% confidence
✓
ProbFut AI Analysis
Malaga produced the best performance among the chasing pack in Round 35, beating Las Palmas 2-0 to jump from 23% to 38% automatic promotion probability — the biggest weekly gain outside of Racing Santander. Despite holding the highest Elo rating in the top 6 (1569), the path to a direct promotion spot is still demanding: they need 6 wins from 7 remaining at 75% confidence, leaving almost no room for slip-ups. Sunday's away trip to Almeria on April 19 is the standout fixture of the week — a win would leapfrog Almeria and make automatic promotion a genuine likelihood.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Malaga's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Malaga has a 0.0% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Malaga need for Escape Relegation?
Malaga needs 0 wins in 7 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.