Espanyol

Espanyol were beaten 4-1 in the city derby by Barcelona, a heavy defeat that nudged their relegation probability up to 4%. At 38 points in 11th, they need just 1 win to feel safe at 75% confidence — and a home match against 19th-placed Levante on Monday, April 27 offers a good opportunity to bank those points quickly. The derby result stings, but their league position means this is about consolidation rather than crisis.