Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano were thrashed 3-0 by Mallorca in Round 31, and the fallout was significant — their relegation probability more than tripled from 3% to 10% in a single round. At 35 points in 14th, 2 more wins from 7 remaining games should be enough for safety at 75% confidence, but the manner of this loss — conceding 3 without reply — is exactly what makes that seemingly achievable target feel less certain. A home match against Real Sociedad on Sunday, April 26 demands a response.