
Pts
42
MP
31
W
11
GD
+1
Probability — Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad drew 3-3 at home against Alaves, and their Europa League probability nudged down to 39%. The math is demanding: reaching EL at 75% confidence requires 5 wins from their remaining 7 games — but they've won just 11 all season, making that a near-heroic ask. They travel to Rayo Vallecano on Sunday, April 26, where all 3 points matter if European football is the goal.