Ligue 1 · 2025 · # 07
Monaco
Pts
49
MP
29
W
15
GD
+7
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.0%
Probability — Monaco
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
✓
90% confidence
✓
99% confidence
✓
ProbFut AI Analysis
Monaco were taken apart 4-1 by Paris FC this round, and the damage was severe — their Champions League probability dropped from 47% to 12%. Conference League is now the realistic ceiling at 30%, where they need 3 wins from 5 remaining games at 75% confidence. They host Auxerre on Sunday (Apr 19) in a match they will be expected to win, and the response here matters: another poor performance would push them further toward the fringe of European qualification altogether.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Monaco's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Monaco has a 0.0% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Monaco need for Escape Relegation?
Monaco needs 0 wins in 5 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.