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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Paris Saint Germain
# 01 · 21 pts
72%
Champions League
1st
27%
UCL
72%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
Monaco
# 02 · 20 pts
39%
Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
39%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
Marseille
# 03 · 19 pts
83%
Champions League
1st
31%
UCL
83%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
Strasbourg
# 04 · 19 pts
76%
Champions League
1st
21%
UCL
76%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Lyon
# 05 · 19 pts
33%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
33%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Lens
# 06 · 19 pts
23%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
23%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Lille
# 07 · 17 pts
57%
Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
57%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Nice
# 08 · 17 pts
14%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
14%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Toulouse
# 09 · 14 pts
6%
Conference League
1st
1%
UCL
3%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 24G
Le Havre
# 10 · 12 pts
5%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
2%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
Rennes
# 11 · 12 pts
3%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
Paris FC
# 12 · 11 pts
4%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
Angers
# 13 · 10 pts
21%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
10%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 24G
Stade Brestois 29
# 14 · 9 pts
7%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
1%
REL
3%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 24G
Nantes
# 15 · 9 pts
11%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
6%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
8
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 24G
Lorient
# 16 · 9 pts
27%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
21%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 24G
Auxerre
# 17 · 7 pts
14%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
65%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
9
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 24G
Metz
# 18 · 5 pts
7%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
91%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
10
W
/ 24G
90% confidence
10
W
/ 24G
99% confidence
12
W
/ 24G