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Magic Numbers
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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Paris Saint Germain
# 01 · 57 pts
82%
Champion
1st
82%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
Lens
# 02 · 56 pts
18%
Champion
1st
18%
UCL
✓
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
8
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
—
Marseille
# 03 · 49 pts
95%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
95%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 8G
Lyon
# 04 · 47 pts
60%
Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
60%
REL
0%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
Lille
# 05 · 44 pts
30%
Europa League
1st
✕
UCL
18%
REL
0%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
Monaco
# 06 · 43 pts
22%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
11%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
Rennes
# 07 · 43 pts
27%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
14%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
Strasbourg
# 08 · 37 pts
8%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 8G
Lorient
# 09 · 37 pts
3%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
1%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 8G
Stade Brestois 29
# 10 · 36 pts
3%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
7
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 8G
Toulouse
# 11 · 34 pts
1%
Conference League
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Conference League
75% confidence
8
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
8
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
—
Angers
# 12 · 32 pts
0%
Champion
1st
✕
UCL
0%
REL
0%
Wins for Champion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Paris FC
# 13 · 28 pts
2%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
1
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
Nice
# 14 · 27 pts
4%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
2
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
Le Havre
# 15 · 27 pts
4%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
1%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
2
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
2
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
4
W
/ 8G
Auxerre
# 16 · 19 pts
56%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
35%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
5
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
6
W
/ 8G
Nantes
# 17 · 17 pts
32%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
67%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
6
W
/ 9G
90% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
99% confidence
9
W
/ 9G
Metz
# 18 · 13 pts
2%
Escape the Playoffs
1st
✕
UCL
✕
REL
98%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
7
W
/ 8G
90% confidence
7
W
/ 8G
99% confidence
8
W
/ 8G