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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Paris Saint Germain
# 01 · 16 pts
60%
Champions League
1st
23%
UCL
60%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
Marseille
# 02 · 15 pts
54%
Champions League
1st
17%
UCL
54%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
Strasbourg
# 03 · 15 pts
45%
Champions League
1st
12%
UCL
45%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
Lyon
# 04 · 15 pts
44%
Champions League
1st
11%
UCL
44%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
15
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
Monaco
# 05 · 13 pts
31%
Champions League
1st
7%
UCL
31%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
Lens
# 06 · 13 pts
35%
Champions League
1st
9%
UCL
35%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
Lille
# 07 · 11 pts
26%
Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
26%
REL
4%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
Paris FC
# 08 · 10 pts
18%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
18%
REL
6%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
Toulouse
# 09 · 10 pts
16%
Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
16%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
Rennes
# 10 · 10 pts
19%
Champions League
1st
4%
UCL
19%
REL
5%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
Stade Brestois 29
# 11 · 8 pts
12%
Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
12%
REL
11%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Nice
# 12 · 8 pts
8%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
8%
REL
14%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Lorient
# 13 · 7 pts
7%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
7%
REL
17%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Auxerre
# 14 · 6 pts
6%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
6%
REL
20%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Le Havre
# 15 · 6 pts
6%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
6%
REL
18%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Nantes
# 16 · 6 pts
7%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
7%
REL
15%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Angers
# 17 · 5 pts
5%
Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
27%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Metz
# 18 · 2 pts
1%
Europa League
1st
1%
UCL
1%
REL
48%
Wins for Europa League
75% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G