Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Marseille
# 01 · 18 pts65%Champions League
1st
26%
UCL
65%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14W/ 26G
90% confidence
14W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Paris Saint Germain
# 02 · 17 pts57%Champions League
1st
18%
UCL
57%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Strasbourg
# 03 · 16 pts46%Champions League
1st
13%
UCL
46%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Lens
# 04 · 16 pts45%Champions League
1st
11%
UCL
45%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
14W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Lyon
# 05 · 15 pts34%Champions League
1st
8%
UCL
34%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
15W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Lille
# 06 · 14 pts32%Champions League
1st
6%
UCL
32%
REL
1%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
17W/ 26G
Monaco
# 07 · 14 pts25%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
25%
REL
2%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
17W/ 26G
Toulouse
# 08 · 13 pts23%Champions League
1st
5%
UCL
23%
REL
3%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
17W/ 26G
Nice
# 09 · 11 pts11%Champions League
1st
2%
UCL
11%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16W/ 26G
90% confidence
19W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Rennes
# 10 · 11 pts16%Champions League
1st
3%
UCL
16%
REL
7%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16W/ 26G
90% confidence
19W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Paris FC
# 11 · 10 pts14%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
14%
REL
9%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
16W/ 26G
90% confidence
19W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Stade Brestois 29
# 12 · 9 pts11%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
11%
REL
9%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 26G
90% confidence
17W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Lorient
# 13 · 8 pts5%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
5%
REL
17%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 26G
90% confidence
19W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Auxerre
# 14 · 7 pts4%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
4%
REL
19%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
17W/ 26G
90% confidence
19W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Nantes
# 15 · 6 pts4%Champions League
1st
0%
UCL
4%
REL
22%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 26G
90% confidence
18W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Le Havre
# 16 · 6 pts3%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
3%
REL
23%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 26G
90% confidence
18W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Angers
# 17 · 6 pts3%Champions League
1st
1%
UCL
3%
REL
23%
Wins for Champions League
75% confidence
18W/ 26G
90% confidence
18W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Metz
# 18 · 2 pts11%Escape the Playoffs
1st
0%
UCL
0%
REL
56%
Wins for Escape the Playoffs
75% confidence
12W/ 26G
90% confidence
13W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G