Manchester City

Manchester City announced their title credentials with a 3-0 dismantling of Chelsea, a result that catapulted their championship probability from 6% to 31% in a single afternoon. The key structural advantage is the game in hand: City have 7 remaining matches to Arsenal's 6, meaning the 6-point gap is more bridgeable than it looks on paper — though winning all 7 is required to cross the 90% confidence threshold. First up is a home fixture against Crystal Palace in their outstanding Round 31 match, before the title showdown with Arsenal on Sunday, Apr 19 takes center stage.