Serie A · 2025 · # 03
AC Milan
Pts
63
MP
32
W
18
GD
+20
Primary Objective
Europa League
Wins needed to qualify for the Europa League.29%
Probability — AC Milan
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
1Wins/ 6
90% confidence
1Wins/ 6
99% confidence
3Wins/ 6
ProbFut AI Analysis
AC Milan endured their most damaging result of the run-in — a 0-3 home thrashing by Udinese in Round 32 — and their Champions League probability fell sharply from 95% to 71% in a single afternoon. The damage is structural: they now need 4 wins from their remaining 6 games to be confident of a top-4 finish, with Juventus only 3 points back and in strong form. Next up is a trip to Hellas Verona on Sunday, April 19 — on paper the softest fixture left on their calendar, and one they cannot afford to drop.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are AC Milan's chances of achieving Europa League?
AC Milan has a 28.7% probability of achieving Europa League, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does AC Milan need for Europa League?
AC Milan needs 1 wins in 6 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.