Cagliari

Cagliari produced a timely 1-0 home win over Cremonese in Round 32, cutting their relegation probability from 4% to under 1% and all but ending the survival conversation. The models now say they need 0 wins from their remaining 6 games to hit the 75th-percentile safety threshold — though 1 more win takes them to full comfort at the 90th percentile too, which the schedule will likely provide. Friday's trip to Inter on April 17 is by far the toughest fixture remaining, but they can approach it without anxiety.