Corinthians

Corinthians held leaders Palmeiras to a 0-0 draw at the Neo Química Arena this round — a defensively creditable result, but it barely shifts a 33% relegation probability, the highest of any team in the top half of the table. With only 2 wins in 11 games and a record dominated by draws (5D), they need 11 wins from 27 remaining at 75% confidence just to stay safe, and generating that level of output requires a fundamental change in output. They travel to Vitoria on Saturday, a side now in sharply improved form.