Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 16
Corinthians
Pts
11
MP
11
W
2
GD
-3
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.33%
Probability — Corinthians
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
11Wins/ 27
90% confidence
11Wins/ 27
99% confidence
13Wins/ 27
ProbFut AI Analysis
Corinthians held leaders Palmeiras to a 0-0 draw at the Neo Química Arena this round — a defensively creditable result, but it barely shifts a 33% relegation probability, the highest of any team in the top half of the table. With only 2 wins in 11 games and a record dominated by draws (5D), they need 11 wins from 27 remaining at 75% confidence just to stay safe, and generating that level of output requires a fundamental change in output. They travel to Vitoria on Saturday, a side now in sharply improved form.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Corinthians's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Corinthians has a 32.8% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Corinthians need for Escape Relegation?
Corinthians needs 11 wins in 27 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.