Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 20
Mirassol
Pts
6
MP
10
W
1
GD
-5
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.55%
Probability — Mirassol
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
12Wins/ 28
90% confidence
14Wins/ 28
99% confidence
14Wins/ 28
ProbFut AI Analysis
Mirassol lost 1-2 at home to Bahia this round — their 5th consecutive defeat — and their relegation probability has climbed to 55%, equal-worst in the league. With just 1 win and 6 points from 10 games, the simulation asks them to win 12 of their 28 remaining matches to have a 75% shot at survival, a level of performance far beyond anything they've shown. They face Flamengo away in their postponed Round 4 fixture next on Wednesday.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Mirassol's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Mirassol has a 55.2% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Mirassol need for Escape Relegation?
Mirassol needs 14 wins in 28 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.