Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 06
Atletico Paranaense
Pts
19
MP
11
W
6
GD
+4
What does the team need?
Primary Objective
Libertadores Playoff
Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.75% confidence
15Wins
90% confidence
15Wins
99% confidence
18Wins
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.29%
17Wins
75% confidenceSulamericana
Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.38%
11Wins
75% confidenceProbFut AI Analysis
Atletico Paranaense bounced back from back-to-back defeats with a 2-0 home win over Chapecoense-sc, pushing their Libertadores direct probability up 6 points to 29% and cutting relegation risk from 5% to 2%. The problem is their volatility — 6 wins and 4 losses in 11 games — which leaves them spread across a wide range of outcomes: 29% for a top-4 finish but 38% for the Sulamericana zone. They travel to leaders Palmeiras on Sunday, a stern test that will say a lot about which direction their season is heading.
Remaining Fixtures
| RD | Opponent | W / D / L | Exp. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |  Palmeiras (PAL) | 1.03 | |
| 13 |  Vitoria (VIT) | 1.67 | |
| 14 |  Gremio (GRE) | 1.66 | |
| 15 |  Vasco DA Gama (VAS) | 1.26 | |
| 16 |  Flamengo (FLA) | 1.50 |