Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 03
Athletic Club
Pts
8
MP
4
W
2
GD
+2
What does the team need?
Primary Objective
Promotion
Wins needed for direct promotion.75% confidence
22Wins
90% confidence
25Wins
99% confidence
25Wins
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.15%
11Wins
75% confidenceProbFut AI Analysis
Athletic Club produced the result of the round — coming from behind to win 3-2 away at CRB, a result that pushed their promotion probability up 4 points to 25% and cut relegation risk 3 points to 15%. The comeback win demonstrates resilience, and the model responded: their Elo sits at 1513, firmly in line with the cluster of sides at the top. They head to Novorizontino on Sunday, Apr 19, facing a side coming off a big win of their own, which makes it a genuine test of credentials. The simulation puts them at 22 wins needed in 34 remaining for a 75% promotion probability — the same requirement as Ceara and 1 fewer than most of the pack.
Remaining Fixtures
| RD | Opponent | W / D / L | Exp. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Novorizontino (NOV) | 1.21 | |
| 6 |  Nautico Recife (NAU) | 1.64 | |
| 7 |  Vila Nova (VIL) | 1.18 | |
| 8 |  Cuiaba (CUI) | 1.69 | |
| 9 |  Juventude (JUV) | 1.67 |