Atletico Goianiense

Atletico Goianiense finally got off the mark with a 2-1 win over Londrina, nudging promotion probability up 2 points to 16% and trimming relegation risk 3 points to 24%. Three opening losses had placed them among the early relegation candidates, and while 1 win does not fundamentally change the picture, it provides genuine relief. Their Elo (1487) is among the lowest in the division, and the simulation still views them as a clear relegation-battle candidate. They face Botafogo SP away on Sunday, Apr 19 — a step up in difficulty — and they need 12 wins in 34 remaining (p75) to build a comfortable safety margin as the season develops.