Avai

Avai earned a point from a tough trip to Recife — the 2-2 draw with Sport Recife left them level on points with 4 other sides at the top and nudged their promotion probability 1 point to 26%. The draw was broadly in line with what the Elo ratings predicted, and with no losses in 4 games (2W 2D), the overall picture remains healthy. Their 14% relegation risk is a reminder of how compressed and uncertain Série B is at this stage. They host Ponte Preta on Saturday, Apr 18 — a relatively favorable fixture — and with 23 wins needed in 34 remaining for a 75% promotion probability, maintaining points-per-game consistency matters far more than any individual result right now.