Operario-PR

Operario-PR remain unbeaten (2W 2D) but a goalless draw at home with Cuiaba trimmed their promotion probability 1 point to 24%, making them the only side in the top 5 to see odds dip this round. Two consecutive scoreless draws suggest they can defend but are struggling to create, and the model penalizes those stalemates against lower-ranked opposition relative to the wins posted by their rivals. They travel to face Vila Nova on Saturday, Apr 18 — a top-half meeting between 2 unbeaten sides — and the result will reveal whether the recent draws reflect a tactical identity or a more concerning lack of firepower. At p75, their 22-win target in 34 remaining is one of the lower requirements in the division.