Brasileirão Série B · 2026 · # 04
Vila Nova
Pts
8
MP
4
W
2
GD
+2
What does the team need?
Primary Objective
Promotion
Wins needed for direct promotion.75% confidence
23Wins
90% confidence
23Wins
99% confidence
25Wins
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.15%
10Wins
75% confidenceProbFut AI Analysis
Vila Nova had the biggest positive probability swing of Round 4 — a 1-0 win at Ponte Preta drove promotion odds up 5 points to 26% and brought relegation risk down to 15%. Two wins and 2 draws from 4 games, with every point earned through competitive, controlled performances, puts them firmly in the promotion conversation. They host Operario-PR on Saturday, Apr 18 — a top-half derby between 2 unbeaten sides — which will start to separate the genuine contenders from the early-season noise. With 23 wins needed in 34 remaining at p75, Vila Nova are on pace if they can sustain the current rhythm.
Remaining Fixtures
| RD | Opponent | W / D / L | Exp. Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Operario-PR (OPE) | 1.60 | |
| 6 |  Ceara (CEA) | 1.16 | |
| 7 |  Athletic Club (ATH) | 1.60 | |
| 8 |  Goias (GOI) | 1.21 | |
| 9 |  Avai (AVA) | 1.58 |