Millwall

Millwall suffered a damaging 1-2 home defeat to Norwich in Round 41, with their direct promotion probability dropping from 47% to 39% — a significant blow in what is becoming a tight three-way battle for 2 automatic spots. The model now requires all 5 remaining wins for a realistic shot at the top 2, while the playoff route at 61% is the far more achievable target — just 1 win from 5 gets there at the 75% confidence mark. They travel to West Brom on Friday, April 10, a side in 21st fighting to avoid relegation where 3 points should be well within reach.